Sentiment Dives, Silver Zooms
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Commodity strength buoys markets as outlook shrinks
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Bob Hoye
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The monthly publication for financial institutions was started in January 1982. This competently covers the stock market, the yield curve, credit spreads as well as metal and energy prices. Bob, as chief financial strategist, writes the weekly overview - Pivotal Events
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Absolute nonsense! By next week we will be in April and he’ll still be talking about the momentum indicator. I simply cannot believe people pay the kind of money they do to get advise from this guy.
Can’t wait to see your portfolio value in a year
Hey cocoa
People were saying what you are saying based on hoyes crystal balling back in 2009….we are in 2011…..Remember this “THE MARKETS CAN STAY IRRATIONAL LONGER THAN YOU STAY LIQUID”….lol.
There is no “ego” here cocoa. The market will dictate my actions, not anyone’s opinions.
The deflationists were right for a few months in 2008. That’s all since 1933 and maybe for a few months scattered over the decades inbetween. However, in 2008 they were spectacularly right and a great number of assets are still below their 2008 highs. That even includes many gold stocks. So to ignore deflationists seems foolish to me.
However, I did notice that Bob has changed his tune on the predicted downturn in stocks. He was looking for a downturn as early as the fall of 2009 (September/October 2009) and another move down as in the 1930 bounce and second crash to the 1932 lows. Tne he thought it would happen in the fall of 2010. Now he sees it more like 1937 with one business cycle inbetween. However wasn’t the 1937 stock market crash low above the 1932 low? So would not the imputed 2011-13 low fail to breach the 2008-09 low, making the 2008-09 low equivalent to the 1932 low in the stock market?
Seems like the window of the Momentum Peak Forecaster just keeps getting longer and longer.
This is Bob’s shortest broadcast ever: 58 seconds and he doesn’t even get to speak!
I see it has been fixed now. Cheers!
What has Jimmy been saying about hoye….folks just follow the us dollar and the 50 day moving average, I said this a few weeks ago… a correction into July 29th and then get long gold, silver and uranium stocks and retire within 12-18 months ….June is Martin armstrongs economic confidence model bottom
Phil you tinhead and hoye……Armstrong is out of prison, they should throw your asses his old cell for being such idiots……lol.
Bob has been waiting for the markets to turn down almost as long as he has been waiting for his Alfa Coupe to get on the road. Maybe the day he drives it out of the garage and takes it up the mountain road for a spin will be the day the market crashes!
This could be a new market signal – the Bob Hoye Alfa Coupe indicator.
The most interesting forecast so far has been the 1987 redux:
http://dshort.com/articles/Kimble/101215-1987-redux.html
This one is remarkable when you consider Chernobyl occurred in spring, 1986.
Then of course, you have the MegaBears comparison in inflation adjusted terms:
http://dshort.com/articles/2010/mega-bear-2000.html
There HAS been one appreciating currency throughout the while and this has been the Japanese Yen. I haven’t got my forecasts correct, let’s hope somebody really can give you the astrology on all that. The long term forecast that we are in a generational bear market has been correct so far, and that we’ll see low interest rates for the forseeable future seems to be a given.
Bob’s Alpha requires a significant amount of chrome, I hear.
I have listened to Bob Hoye’s interviews for a long time but find his forecasts less coherent and less responsive in recent months. On many recent weekends I have had to call a close, market moxy, friend to ask him what Bob Hoye just said, to no avail. I don’t know why, but I find myself increasingly having to guess at what Bob Hoye meant in his well intended ramblings.
Just replay any weekly show over the past 18 months or so and you’ll basically hear the same thing repeated over and over so if you dont grasp it the 1st time, do not worry; it’s the same message
Hi Bob, Now that we are in the fourth month since your momentum peek forecaster was revealed, is the market going to roll over? and if so, should I be shorting the s+p, selling my gold stocks – esp. majors like goldcorp, barrick, and should I also short silver and their stocks…I’d really like to know how this should be played. Every time in the last year I went short, I got my youknowwhat handed to me….and it’s kinda sore, so I don’t want to go down that route again, if at all possible. Thanks,
Paul Rotwein, Las Vegas